Friday, July 24, 2009

Jonathan Papelbon- Best Ever?

Jonathan Papelbon- 5 yrs, 14-11 record, 243 gm, 271 ip, 312 k, 137 sv, 1.83 ERA, 0.98 WHIP.

Like Vanilla Ice- Quick to the point, to the point no faking. Burning MC's like a pound of bacon...is Boston Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon one of the best pitchers ever?

According to my handy-dandy Baseball-Reference subscription he is. He has the 2nd best ERA since 1901 of any pitcher with 270+ innings pitched (1st place 1.82 ERA). Mariano Rivera and Francisco Rodriguez are the only other modern day pitchers that crack the top 50. Also, Papelbon's WHIP is the 3rd best in that same time frame.

Papelbon is only 28 years old, and he's already an elite closer. He's converted 89% of his save opportunities. People always talk about the awesomeness of Mariano Rivera, and then point to his postseason dominance (0.77 ERA/0.75 WHIP in 117 ip), but Papelbon is well on his way to doing such great things as well (0.00 ERA/0.64 WHIP in 25). Yes, Jonathan Papelbon has not allowed a friggin' run in the playoffs yet...amazing!

It will be interesting to see the size of contract Papelbon gets when he hits free agency. He just received a hefty raise this offseason of nearly $5.5M (making $6.25), avoiding arbitration for the 1st time. The BoSox are going to have to pony up the big bucks if they want to retain his services. If healthy, a 5 year $65M deal seems well within reason for this backend of the staff ace.


Papelbon Riverdancing with some Dropkick Murphy playing in the background.

7 comments:

philly_phanatic said...

I think that Jonathan was and is the best ever. He is a great closer and can throw hard and mix speeds very well. :) HOw about Rivera? HE is good too

Jimmy said...

As big of a fan of his as I am, he'll need to do it for a few more years before he enters the discussion with guys like Rivera, Hoffman, and Eckersley.

Papelbon has rate stats like no other, but he's been our closer for 3.5 years. That's a really short time frame...let's see him keep it up for 5 more years.

GM-Carson said...

I don't truly believe he's the best ever, but like you said Jimmy, if he can continue this level of success then he'll be writing a new chapter for elite closers.

HZMLS said...

As a huge Red Sox fan, I want to say this is absolute BS. There is no way that Jonathan papelbon is one of the best ever, have you watched him this year?

GM-Carson said...

Then I guess his career stats are a total fluke then right?

Doc Holliday said...

Papelbon is well on his way to Mo's postseason stature? After 25 IP? Mariano has pitched 117 innings in the postseason. At his rate, Pap needs to stick around for another, oh, 18 years to match Mo's stats. Definitely getting close...

GM-Carson said...

That blown save which ended up being a loss to Oakland certainly didn't help my assertion.